But read on to see how the bounty affects the equation…Ĭalling It Off in a Progressive Knockout Tournament In a tournament with no bounties, it won’t matter one bit whether they call or fold. The Rule of 4 states that we can multiply outs by 4 on the flop to find equityīTN has roughly 32% equity, almost exactly what they need to break even. Since there are still two cards to come, BTN can use the rule of 4 to work out their equity. It looks a lot like the 6-high hand has to hit a straight to win here – so their equity then is simply how often they get there. Either way, their decision is a close one now. Maybe the CO folds a lot to 3-bets, or maybe the BTN is just the sort of guy to attack a lot with the big stack. Let’s say that BU’s hand was actually 6 ♣ 4 ♣ – a somewhat cheeky 3-bet bluff. The BTN needs 31% equity to break even in chips. In order to break even in chips, they need to win (amount to call)/(amount to call + total pot) % of the time. Now BTN has a classic end of action spot decision. The CO checks to the aggressor and the BTN bets 8000. We are already approaching a situation where all-ins are looming on the horizon. The pot is 16,000 including dead antes and blinds and the effective stack is now 29,000. Player A calls the 3-bet and the flop comes Q ♦ 5 ♥ 3 ♠. Perhaps the best way to see how bounties affect-decision making is to start off by analysing a hand in a non-bounty tournament. Now let’s cover how a big bounty – either on your own head or that of your opponent – can make a big difference to the math of many a decision.
In earlier articles, I covered why progressive knockouts are worth a try and how to roughly adapt your game.
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